What Will Happen If Climate Change Stops – Vintage cars line up after the Loma Fire on September 28, 2016 near Morgan Hill, California on Loma Chiquita Road. Noah Berger/AP file
It seems like every week there’s a new alarming report that man-made climate change is causing the collapse of the world’s ice sheets, the extinction of up to 1 million animal species, and — if that wasn’t bad enough — creating. our beer is very, very expensive. A new policy paper from the Australian Think Tank this week said that other reports are somewhat off the mark; The threat of climate change is actually much worse.
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What Will Happen If Climate Change Stops
According to the paper, climate change “poses a near-medium existential threat to human civilization,” and if serious mitigation measures are not taken in the next decade, society could collapse by 2050.
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Published by the Melbourne-based National Center for Climate Change (an independent think tank focused on climate policy) and written by climate researchers and former fossil fuel executives, the main thesis of the paper is that climate scientists are exaggerating in their predictions. Climate change will affect the planet in the future. [9 Top Ways to End the World]
He says the current climate crisis is bigger and more complex than people think. Global climate models – the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – seem to predict that a global temperature increase of 3.6 degrees Celsius (2 degrees Celsius) in 2018 could put hundreds of millions of people at risk. Consider the complexity of Earth’s interrelated geological processes; Thus, they cannot predict the extent of potential consequences. The truth, the author writes, is probably worse than the model imagines.
What is the worst-case scenario for the future related to the planet’s climate? The authors say that world governments have “clearly ignored” the advice of scientists and their willingness to decarbonize their economies (find alternative energy sources), which has led to a 5.4 F (3 C) rise in global temperatures. 2050 years. At this time the ice sheets of the world disappeared; drought killed most of the trees in the Amazon rainforest (eliminating the world’s largest carbon offset); and the planet always enters the inversion of the hot, deadlier situation.
“Thirty-five percent of the global land area, and 55 percent of the world’s population, experience more than 20 days per year of heat conditions exceeding the threshold for human survival,” the authors estimate.
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At the same time, droughts, floods and fires regularly destroy the land. Almost a third of the world is desert. Entire ecosystems are being destroyed, from the planet’s coral reefs, rainforests, and arctic ice sheets. The world’s tropics have been hit hardest by this new climate extreme, devastating the region’s agriculture and displacing more than 1 billion people.
This mass movement of refugees – shrinking coastlines, depleting food and water – is beginning to tear at the fabric of the world’s largest nations, including the United States. An armed conflict over resources would probably end in a nuclear war.
The result, according to a new paper, is “outright chaos” and possibly “the end of human global civilization as we know it.”
How can this catastrophic scenario be prevented? Working with people around the world on climate change adoption and engagement for emergencies. According to the authors of the paper, humanity still has about ten years to start a global movement to transition the world economy to a zero carbon system. (Achieving zero carbon emissions does not require reducing carbon emissions or offsetting carbon emissions.) The effort required to do so “would be equivalent to the emergency mobilization of World War II,” the authors wrote.
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The new policy paper is supported by an introduction by Australia’s retired chief of defense and a Royal Navy admiral who testified before the Australian Senate about the potential threat of climate change to national security and human well-being.
“I told the [Senate] inquiry that, after nuclear war, human warming is the greatest threat to human life on the planet,” Barry wrote in a recent paper. “Human life on Earth may be on the verge of extinction, the most dangerous way.” We care about your data and want you to use cookies. Please agree and read more about our privacy policy.
Modern supercomputer simulations show that the feedback between global warming and cloud loss could damage Earth’s climate within a century.
On a 1987 expedition to Antarctica, paleoceanographer James Kennett and his crew dropped anchor in the Weddell Sea, drilled into the ocean floor, and retrieved a vertical cylinder. Layers of plankton debris and other detritus buried more than 500 feet deep, they uncover troubling information about the planet’s past that could spell disaster for the future.
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Fossils in the bottom center of the pit contain more than 60 species of plankton. But this thin cross-section, around 56 million years ago, has reduced the number of species to 17. The oxygen and carbon isotopic composition of plankton has changed dramatically. Kennett and his student Lowell Stott discovered that carbon dioxide from anomalous isotopes flooded the atmosphere, causing acidification and rapid warming of the oceans, similar to the process we see today.
When 17 species of plankton drowned in warm waters and settled in Antarctic seas, the tapir-like creatures died out in what is now Wyoming, flooding the Bighorn Badlands into a red layer of sediment. pond. In 1992, fossil discoverer Phil Gingerich and his colleagues Jim Zahos and Paul Koch reported enamel anomalies similar to those discovered by Kenneth and Stott a year earlier. Historically, mammals also breathed CO
More data centers are popping up in China, then Europe, and everywhere else. About 56 million years ago, there was a brief warm spell, now known as the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM). Carbon, which has accumulated heat in the sky from an unknown source, has increased by 6 degrees Celsius, several degrees warmer than today. Oceans become hot tubs near the equator and experience global extinction. On land, primitive monkeys, horses, and other large mammals moved north, following the vegetation into the vast expanses. Mammals also miniaturize over generations as leaves become less nutritious in a carbonaceous atmosphere. violent storm ravaged the planet; geological records show floods and droughts. As Kenneth said, “the earth shook, and all hell broke loose.”
Red clay layers sedimented through the Badlands of Wyoming’s Bighorn Basin have yielded the first fossil evidence of a global warming event 56 million years ago.
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Climate change; According to scientists, it also shows unknown factors that affect the Earth’s climate. When a planet heats up, it gets very hot. Past warming episodes have always been more extreme than theoretical climate models such as the PETM predict. Even after accounting for differences in geography, ocean currents, and vegetation in recent episodes, paleoclimatologists seem to be missing something big in the X-factor model, which wild waves leave traces in the fossil record.
The evidence supports an answer that experts have suspected for a long time, but have only recently been able to study in detail. “At this point, it’s pretty clear that the answer is cloud,” said Matt Huber, a paleoclimate modeler at Purdue University.
Clouds now cover two-thirds of the planet. But computer simulations of clouds are beginning to show that as the Earth warms, clouds will become rarer. With fewer white spots showing sunlight returning to space, the Earth warms, causing clouds to disappear. This feedback loop causes the temperature to go out of control.
For decades, rough estimates suggested that cloud loss could have a major impact on climate, but the concern remained speculative until the past few years, when cloud observations and simulations provided researchers with convincing evidence.
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The effects of cloud loss may be dramatic enough to explain past warming episodes such as the PETM and to warn of future catastrophes. Climate physicists at the California Institute of Technology conducted a state-of-the-art simulation of stratocumulus clouds, a low hollow type that has the largest cooling effect on the planet. The simulations show one point: the rate of warming at which stratocumulus clouds have recently broken up. CO concentration is lost
In a simulated atmosphere
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