Best Jobs In The Future 2030 – Some experts predict a dystopia with rising unemployment and inequality, while others envision a utopia where work plays a smaller role in our lives.
In a 2019 Vice News documentary about the future of work, a white-haired truck driver talks about how proud he is of his job. “I know that I am giving the world everything I have,” he says. “I deliver your clothes, your food. I feel good as a driver and as a person.”
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Best Jobs In The Future 2030
This feeling, like his work, may soon disappear. After a truck driver demonstrates a self-driving semi, an interviewer asks him what he does when he’s not driving a truck. “I can’t answer that honestly because I don’t know what to do,” she says. “I would be scared.”
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The phrase “the future of work” is inextricably linked to fears of how artificial intelligence and automation will replace large groups of workers. But the consequences of such changes are not clear.
Experts talk about two possible scenarios, summarized by Darrell West, founding director and vice president and director of management research at the Center for Technological Innovation at the Brookings Institution in Washington. One is dystopia, with high unemployment and increasing income inequality. The second would be a utopia: a more inclusive society where people didn’t have to work as hard, at least not for money. They have more time to pursue their own interests or to do unpaid but necessary work such as parenting or community service.
Which way are we going? How the government, business and education system react will be decisive factors, says Garb.
The numbers are staggering. Over the past 50 years, automation has allowed companies to do more with fewer people. West illustrates this by comparing the largest companies in 1962, such as AT&T, to the largest in 2017. For example, Apple was 40 times more valuable (by market capitalization) than AT&T in 1962, but had only one-fifth the workforce.
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Some experts believe that the next wave of automation will evolve like previous waves. They argue that the Industrial Revolution made many jobs obsolete, but it replaced them several times and created more new jobs than it destroyed. But this time there are at least three important differences:
Imagine, for example, robots or cobots (robots that interact directly and closely with humans) helping to process COVID-19 patients arriving in the emergency room, says Michael J. Lotito , a shareholder in the employment law firm Littler and co-chair of the firm’s Workplace Policy Institute. Or the complete automation of grocery delivery, so that online orders are picked and packed by robots, then delivered by driverless cars, with almost no human intervention.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and automation are advancing three times faster than Moore’s Law, according to a report published by Stanford University in December 2019. Originally developed by Intel founder Gordon Moore, the Silicon Valley rule of thumb is that processor speeds double every 18 times. months. Moore’s Law explains why the price of computers has plummeted. AI initially developed at the speed of Moore’s Law. But in 2012, the computing power of artificial intelligence began to double every 3.4 months.
“It’s scary,” said Rob Irizarry, a Bozeman, Montana-based technology entrepreneur and investor who now serves as Oracle’s director of customer experience optimization and teaches at Montana State University. This means that more jobs could be automated sooner than we think. And so it happened
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The nonprofit Emma Coalition educates employers and policymakers about what the coalition calls TIDE—the technology-driven displacement of workers. The coalition was formed by Littler, government relations firm Prime Policy Group and the National Restaurant Association.
Restaurant workers are one of the largest segments of employment threatened by automation. Cashiers have been replaced by kiosks in many fast food chains. Customers order via touch screen or mobile phone. Only humans cook food, and they will probably be replaced by robots soon. When that happens, about 5.4 million jobs are expected to be lost in the food industry. Millions of jobs could follow in office support, retail and transportation. According to a report by the McKinsey Global Institute
, nearly 40 percent of U.S. jobs are in occupations likely to shrink between now and 2030.
Lotito, who founded the Emma Coalition, said she was frustrated by the lack of federal guidance on workforce training. The pandemic may have brought more attention to the need to retrain and upskill the workforce, but not yet, he says. Despite the federal government providing large amounts of stimulus money to minimize economic stress, no money is allocated to training or educating workers. U.S. citizens received a one-time payment of $1,200 and an additional $600 in unemployment benefits, he says, “but no one says, ‘Here’s $600 in a lifelong learning account.’
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Lotito said the US needs a leader who can be a wake-up call and inspire the country to take action. “It’s the Sputnik moment,” he says, referring to the launch of a Russian satellite in the 1950s that stoked fears of technical weakness in the United States and spurred President John F. Kennedy on the space race.
Indeed, even before the mass unemployment caused by the pandemic, experts feared that America’s unpreparedness could lead to geopolitical instability and threaten national security. A 2018 report by the Council on Foreign Relations warned that mass job losses could lead to chaos and disorder in the US. “In such a situation, populism, despite its attempts to contribute to the development of the country, is sure to increase opposition to both immigration and trade,” the report says.
While some are calling for mass retraining and retraining, others doubt that’s the answer, especially given how fast AI is advancing.
Former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Young, who particularly advocated for a $1,000-a-month universal basic income for all American adults to protect against technology’s destruction, says the focus on mask recycling is a real and bigger problem. Because automation is happening so fast, it is impossible to reliably predict what skills society will need even in a few years. Only after we teach humans to code will AI be able to do basic coding. “It’s a race we can’t win,” Yang told Vice News.
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And the problem goes beyond money. In a culture where we are defined by what we do for a living, not working can be devastating not only financially, but also physically and mentally. “It’s not just about how [people] make ends meet,” says Richard Haas, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, in the Vice documentary. “What are they going to do?”
The political polarization and economic anxieties of recent years are at least partly a reflection of fears of automation and job losses. And these signs of the times can only be the first tremors of social earthquakes.
However, not everyone is predicting rainy days. Benjamin Honeycutt, a professor at the University of Iowa, has spent decades studying the history of leisure, technology, and labor. He is one of a group of experts and academics called “post-workers”. According to them, the economy is becoming a new system in which money – and therefore traditional paid jobs – will become less important.
(Temple University Press, 2020), describes an economy that is moving from a money-based economy to a time-based economy. Although people will work fewer hours due to automation, they won’t have to work as much because they won’t need as much money. “In this experience economy, the currency needed to buy things is more and more time,” he says. “We are becoming less and less dependent on money.
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Hunnicutt points out that people, especially the younger generations, no longer want to completely tie their lives to their work. They are also not material, he says. “They’d rather experience things than buy things. They don’t want to spend their lives paying off a mortgage.”
In the meantime, he said, an effective way to deal with potential job losses would be to reassign existing work to shorter shifts or perhaps more part-time jobs. In the unemployment wave that followed the Great Depression, businesses did this effectively, Hunnicutt says. Cereal maker Kellogg Co. Battle Creek, Michigan introduced a six-hour workday and a 30-hour workweek. “They’ve responded to this national crisis by cutting hours,” he says. (At the time, economist John Maynard Keynes predicted that technological progress could lead to a 15-hour work week by 2030 and plenty of leisure time.)
Today’s employers can use the same tool. Metro Plastics Technologies, a small plastics manufacturer in Noblesville, Indiana, switched to six-hour shifts in the early 1990s. The company’s founder and CEO, Lindsay Hahn, said its goal was not to create more jobs in a time of mass unemployment due to automation, but to attract hard-to-find workers. Either way, Hunnicutt calls it “a great management initiative” and “a way to negotiate money and time.” Han managed to find
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